alexolegimas· @alexolegimas · X·· 5 小时前AI 评分
不同模型预测与更新追踪
这是一个非常有意思的练习。追踪不同模型在现实场景中如何形成预测,追踪它们如何更新以及依据什么更新,并将它们与 Polymarket 等其他渠道进行比较。一旦实际结果开始出现,这将会成为一个非常不错的数据集。
This is a really interesting exercise. Track how different models form forecasts in the wild, track how they update and based on what, see how they compare to other outlets like poly market. This is going to be a really nice data set once outcomes start getting realized.
来源:alexolegimas · x.com