马斯克：机器人距离替代人类仍很远

AI 导读

马斯克表示，目前世界上没有机器人能更换南瓜灯里的电池，机器人距离替代人类全部能力仍很远。他认为，今天虽可训练专用机器人执行这类任务，但拆开 AA 电池包装、取出精密螺丝刀、拧下四颗小螺丝并取出电池仍是难点。因此，近期的末日论风险最多谈“秘密控制人类”，而非“消灭人类”。

正文 · 原文

I see how some people can watch flashy robot demos on the timeline and think with a shiver that the robot apocalypse is around the corner, but reality check:

There is no robot in the world that can change the batteries in a jack-o-lantern.

If you have a robot friendly door handle it might be able to walk outside, pick it up, and carry it back inside. The robot could open the drawer with your batteries in it, but then things get tough.

Opening the package of AA batteries?

Extracting a precision screwdriver from its case?

Unscrewing four tiny screws that require a hard press and twist?

Popping batteries out of the case?

Yes, you could build and train a specialist robot to do that today, but there is a very long way to go to replace the full range of human capabilities. Near term doomer scenarios should stop at “secretly controlling humanity” instead of “wiping humanity out” 😀