纽约大学 Aswath Damodaran:AI 的 10-15 万亿美元市场是"可怕"的故事,前提是它取代人而非作为工具
RT by @rohanpaul_ai: The $10-$15 trillion total addressable market for AI, if it is successful, is actually "terrifying". - The famous "Dean of Valuation", Professor Aswath Damodaran, of NYU Stern School of Business. The reason: AI as a tool is a much smaller market; AI as a replacement for human-jobs is where the giant market story comes from. "The best-case scenario for AI, that $10 to $15 trillion market, will happen if ONLY it replaces people. If AI is a tool, it’s going to be a much smaller market than if AI replaces people. So, the stories we’re telling about $10, $20 or $25 trillion markets are actually terrifying stories for the rest of the world. Why? Because if that story comes true, half of all white-collar people are going to lose their jobs. And what are they going to do instead? Who’s going to come up with the income to buy the products and services? If AI works as well as it’s supposed to and replaces people, how do we deal with that as a society? Because people lose the
纽约大学 Stern 商学院教授 Aswath Damodaran 称,AI 若成功,其 10-15 万亿美元的可触达市场"很可怕",因为这一规模只有在 AI 取代人类工作、而非仅作为工具时才会出现。他指出,若该故事成真,半数白领将失业,随之而来的是收入与人生意义的双重丧失。
来源:X:Rohan Paul (@rohanpaul_ai) · x.lingyaoai.com