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X:Rohan Paul (@rohanpaul_ai)· @rohanpaul_ai·· 12 小时前AI 评分60

纽约大学达摩德兰:AI资本开支由债务驱动,回调时冲击或外溢至社会

RT by @rohanpaul_ai: dot-com bubble vs. a possible AI bubble. From the famous "Dean of Valuation", Professor Aswath Damodaran, of NYU Stern School of Business, “And that’s the real big difference between the dot-com boom and bust and the AI boom. We don’t know whether there’ll be a bust. History suggests there will be a bust. The dot-com boom and bust had no huge capital expenditure in that cycle. In fact, there was very little traditional CapEx, or even R&D, driving it. People started apps. They basically started going on it. This has been the biggest infrastructure run-up I think I’ve ever seen in business. You can go back and compare it to the automobile business 100 years ago. The amount of money that’s being put into AI CapEx is immense, which means that when the correction comes, the pain will be more intense. And herein lies the second problem. The dot-com boom and bust was almost entirely equity-funded. You think, so what? Well, when the bust came, those shareholders lost 60%,

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纽约大学斯特恩商学院教授 Aswath Damodaran 在 Excess Returns 播客中对比互联网泡沫与可能的 AI 泡沫,指出这轮 AI 基建投入是他见过的最大规模基础设施扩张,资金量巨大,一旦回调痛苦会更剧烈。

来源:X:Rohan Paul (@rohanpaul_ai) · x.lingyaoai.com